The Surprise of Trump's Election: Polling, Election Analysis, and Populism
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Political scientists, pollsters, election modellers, and pundits predicted Donald Trump's demise months before the election right up until election eve. Why were they wrong? What did they miss? Are polling methods and the way that we study politics and elections the culprits?
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Center for the Study of Politics and Governance, Humphrey School of Public Affairs, UMN
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Brennan, Timothy; Goren, Paul; Nimtz, August; Rahn, Wendy. (2017). The Surprise of Trump's Election: Polling, Election Analysis, and Populism. Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/194063.
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