Dynamic Pricing Under Customer Review Effects

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Dynamic Pricing Under Customer Review Effects

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2019-06

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Abstract

A dramatic development in e-commerce has been made in the past decade. For customers shopping online, other customers' review is an important source of information. There are already studies finding that product with good review can have higher demand. However, a review may be subjective and even a good quality product may still have low rating reviews. These negative reviews could be a problem when a seller just starts the business with only a few reviews, in which case a negative review will drag the average review significantly. It could be a seller's nightmare in a highly competitive market since customers will be unwilling to purchase a product with negative reviews whatever the quality is. To resolve this issue, the seller could simply lower the price to attract more purchases and get more reviews. However, keeping a low price may hurt the profit in the short run. In this dissertation, we study the trade off between using a low price to attract more purchases and more reviews, and using a high price for a higher profit. We consider a monopolist selling a single product to a sequence of customers. Each customer will make a purchase decision based on the current review and the price. If a customer purchases the product, he will post a review, which is drawn from a normal distribution centered at the true quality. Only the seller knows the true quality, therefore, the customers have to use the review as a reference of the true quality. We derive the optimal policy on how the seller should adjust the price to maximize the expected revenue. We also derive upper bounds on the best performance of any policy and further extend the results to multiple price policies. After that, we then consider a discrete model where the review distribution can be a general distribution under some mild assumptions. The results of this dissertation highlight the trade off between short term and long term revenue, provide insights on how to design a good pricing policy and enable sellers to make a better decision.

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University of Minnesota Ph.D. dissertation. June 2019. Major: Industrial Engineering. Advisor: Zizhuo Wang. 1 computer file (PDF); ix, 89 pages.

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Shi, Ruizhi. (2019). Dynamic Pricing Under Customer Review Effects. Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/206378.

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