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Essays on Land Markets and Development

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Essays on Land Markets and Development

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2022-05

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This dissertation consists of three chapters. In chapter 1, I provide a cross-country perspective on the prevalence of market restrictions and review the literature that investigates the misallocation costs of these policies. In chapter 2, I summarize the microdata that I use in the analysis of customary land in Malawi. In this chapter, I also estimate the main objects that are used as inputs into an indirect inference exercise in chapter 3. In chapter 3, I investigate whether replacing use it or lose it land institutions with land markets triggers productivity growth and reallocation of labor towards non-agriculture. I build a model where households face risk in non-agriculture and maintain rights to agricultural land via the principle of use it or lose it. When markets are incomplete but land is easily accessible, households can partially self-insure by returning to agriculture when non-agricultural opportunities fail. As land becomes less accessible, productive farmers disproportionately forgo profitable opportunities in non-agriculture to limit their exposure to uninsurable risk. I use moments from the Malawi microdata to estimate key model parameters via indirect inference. With only 1.3% of landless households accessing land each year in Malawi, the prospect of long landless spells pushes productive farmers to stay in agriculture. I use the model in a policy experiment where land is privatized and landholders at the time of the reform earn income on the land. While the policy yields an increase in aggregate output of 28%, patterns of entry and exit attenuate the productivity gains in agriculture by 16%. Productivity grows by 22% in agriculture and 15% in non-agriculture. Although all households benefit from higher productivity in agriculture, the welfare gains for landless households are on average 10 times lower than those of landowners.

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University of Minnesota Ph.D. dissertation. May 2022. Major: Economics. Advisor: Ellen McGrattan. 1 computer file (PDF); vii, 62 pages.

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Fonseca Rodrigues, Joao. (2022). Essays on Land Markets and Development. Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/241386.

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