Camp Ripley Sentinel Landscape Climate Resilience Analysis and Strategic Plan Amendments
2023-07
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Camp Ripley Sentinel Landscape Climate Resilience Analysis and Strategic Plan Amendments
Published Date
2023-07
Publisher
University of Minnesota Duluth
Type
Technical Report
Abstract
Camp Ripley is a military training facility located in central Minnesota. It is surrounded by the
750,000-acre Camp Ripley Sentinel Landscape (CRSL). Created in 2015, the CRSL consists of
working and natural lands surrounding Camp Ripley with the purpose of protecting the training
mission of the facility. The rural character of this landscape is generally compatible with that
mission. However, it could be compromised by development, which could diminish habitat
quality and raise the potential for conflict with landowners. The ability of Camp Ripley to
maintain its mission is also threatened by a changing climate, which is projected to get warmer
and wetter with a higher frequency of large precipitation events in the region.
To help ensure the viability of the mission, the Natural Resources Research Institute assessed
climate vulnerabilities and developed strategies to build and enhance climate resilience.
Specifically, we 1) evaluated and selected Global Climate Models (GCM) that are expected to
perform well in the region, 2) modeled stream water quantity and quality under different land use
and climate scenarios, 3) characterized the landscape using Geographic Information Systems,
4) modeled and identified high-quality habitat for at-risk species, 5) evaluated and ranked
parcels for conservation and restoration opportunities, 6) created afforestation plans for
individual parcels, and 7) amended the Camp Ripley Strategic Plan with climate resilience
language and strategies.
Modeling stream quantity and quality under different land use scenarios indicates generally
increased flow and sediment and nutrient concentration in scenarios where forest land is
converted to agriculture or developed. Modeling under different future climate scenarios
generally predicts decreased summer baseflow and increased nutrient and sediment
concentrations. A suite of environmental data was acquired and developed to help characterize
the landscape and prioritize parcels for conservation or restoration activity. Habitat models were
developed for the Red-shouldered hawk, Golden-winged warbler, Northern long-eared bat, and
Blanding’s turtle, all listed as at-risk or endangered under the Endangered Species Act.
Afforestation plans with carbon sequestration modeling and carbon market participation
compensation estimates were completed for two parcels within the landscape, illustrating an
economically viable, market-driven solution. Climate resilience language was added to the
strategic plan with emphasis placed on the restructuring and expansion of the strategy table
while improving alignment with Minnesota’s Climate Adaptation Framework.
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Sponsor: Morrison Soil and Water Conservation District; Source: U.S. Department of Defense
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Bartsch, Will; Cai, Meijun; Johnson, Kris; Nixon, Kristi; Sprague, Tiffany; Wright, Chris; Olsen, Louis; Reed, Jane. (2023). Camp Ripley Sentinel Landscape Climate Resilience Analysis and Strategic Plan Amendments. Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/258034.
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