The Debt-to-GDP Threshold Effect On Output: A Country-Specific Analysis

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The Debt-to-GDP Threshold Effect On Output: A Country-Specific Analysis

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Lechtenberg, Luke

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2017

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Abstract

The recent economics literature has focused on establishing a general debt-to-GDP threshold across countries where output growth becomes negatively affected. This paper, conversely, attempts to establish debt-to-GDP thresholds for individual countries, the purpose of which is to show that a country’s fiscal policy decisions should be based on data specific to that country, which should foster more informed and prudent policy making.

Keywords

Debt-to-GDP threshold

Threshold regression analysis

Eurozone governments

Debt trajectory

GDP growth

Government debt

University of Minnesota Duluth

University Honors

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University Honors Capstone Project Paper, University of Minnesota Duluth, 2017.

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Lechtenberg, Luke. (2017). The Debt-to-GDP Threshold Effect On Output: A Country-Specific Analysis. Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/194889.

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