The Impact of Societal Instability on Demographic Behavior(USSR/Russia: A Case Study)

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The Impact of Societal Instability on Demographic Behavior(USSR/Russia: A Case Study)

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2017-12

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The dissertation investigates the impact of sociopolitical instability on fertility. I develop a model linking macro-level sociopolitical instabilities of various types and intensities with their perceptions as uncertainties on the micro-level and further impact on fertility decision-making and outcomes. This model is based on a modified version of the uncertainty reduction theory. I stipulate that higher fertility rates may reflect people’s effort to reduce uncertainty in the periods of higher instability. I test and partially confirm this model by application of an age-period-cohort analysis to fertility data from the Soviet and post-Soviet Russia from 1959 through 1998. The findings lead to certain suggestions in the way of refinement of the uncertainty reduction theory.

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University of Minnesota Ph.D. dissertation. December 2017. Major: Sociology. Advisor: Jeffrey Broadbent. 1 computer file (PDF); vi, 201 pages.

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Frantsuz, Yuri. (2017). The Impact of Societal Instability on Demographic Behavior(USSR/Russia: A Case Study). Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/194614.

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