"Bayes' Theorem" for Utility

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"Bayes' Theorem" for Utility

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1976-04

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Center for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Minnesota

Type

Working Paper

Abstract

An algorithm is proposed for updating an initial period objective (risk) function by means of transitional utility (loss) assessments, in a manner analogous to Bayes' theorem for probability. Specification of updated probability assessments is not required. The algorithm is shown to be robust with respect to a fully updated procedure, given certain empirically meaningful restrictions. Existence of the initial period objective function is axiomatized in the context of a model which adopts a symmetrical approach to utility and probability.

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Discussion Paper
65

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Previously Published Citation

Tesfatsion, L., (1976), ""Bayes' Theorem" for Utility", Discussion Paper No. 65, Center for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Minnesota.

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Tesfatsion, Leigh. (1976). "Bayes' Theorem" for Utility. Retrieved from the University Digital Conservancy, https://hdl.handle.net/11299/54818.

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