Browsing by Subject "Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior"
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Item Climate Tracking: Applications of a Novel Technique to Sustainability(2012-07-24) Barnes, Richard; Lehman, Clarence; Williams, Shelby; Frelich, LeeClimate change has profound implications for the sustainability of society and the environment, yet estimates of climate change cover times scales which make results difficult to verify, are often computationally expensive to make, and have uncertainties which are not easily communicated, especially outside the area of computational meteorology and mathematics. We present a method of quantifying climate change over the past century and into the near‐future which bypasses many of these problems. Using historical weather data and a surface‐fitting algorithm, we are able to extract "climate velocities", representing the surface speed and direction of the climate for any location. Projections from these velocities can be used to extract possible future locations and direction‐of‐movement of biomes, biofuel hotspots, and agricultural productivity, with implications for conservation parkways, preemptive revegetation, agricultural policy.