Browsing by Subject "Combined Heat & Power"
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Item Using Mean-Reverting Prices and Real Options to Analyze District Heating and Combined Heat and Power in a Northern Minnesota City(2014-07) Smale, Andrew D.This paper examines alternative investment strategies for a biomass-powered District Heating (DH) system for a small city in Northern Minnesota, including Combined Heat & Power (CHP) as a method of producing both heat and electricity. Stochastic, mean-reverting commodity prices and Real Options analysis techniques are also incorporated into a financial examination of the project. The analysis finds that, given certain tax incentives, a DH+CHP project could be attractive for a profit-seeking investor. The analysis also reveals that upfront investment risk could be lowered by using an incremental Real Options approach.