Browsing by Author "Maki, Wilbur R."

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    Area Financing of Water Resource Development in West Minnesota
    (Water Resources Research Center, University of Minnesota, 1974-01) Maki, Wilbur R.
    A 14-county environmental planning area in West Minnesota was identified for the purpose of studying financing alternatives in water resource development. Nine of the 14 counties belong to a newly established Regional Development Commission. This Commission has responsibility for planning, research and review of local government activities in the nine-county area. The remaining five counties are included with other newly organized Minnesota planning regions. Altogether, 719 units of government (exclusive of the newly established planning commissions) were included in the study area in 1967 , which is the base year for the study. Economic and organizational structures in the 14-county area are described and analyzed in this study. A computable model of the area economy is presented. Estimates of the degree of internal interdependence of the area economy are derived as basis for assessing the current status of the area economy and its public financing potentials. The base-year data are used subsequently in the preparation of a projected 1980 inter-industry transactions table. An expanded system of area product and income accounts is presented, also, for both the base year and the target year. These accounts are used in assessing the public economy as part of a total area economy. Water resource development potentials and financing requirements and alternatives are identified in the context of all public expenditures and outlays in a multi-county area. The data and methodology developed in the study provide a basis for comprehensive resource planning and programming on a multi-county scale. Use of the technical capability for these purposes in illustrated for the 14-county study area. Further study is underway to facilitate use of the data and models in multi-county resource development and planning.
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    Employment Trends and Projections for Minnesota and its Substate Development Regions
    (Minnesota Agricultural Experiment Station, 1979) Maki, Wilbur R.; Michaels, Gregory H.; Laulainen, Leonard A. Jr.; Chen, Mason
    Changing patterns of employment in Minnesota and its 13 development regions are examined in this report. Industry employment change is discussed in terms of the industry distribution of employment, the sources of employment change, and the interrelationships between the economic base and total employment change. Economic base refers to export producing industry, specifically, the employment engaged in producing goods and services which are bought by non-residents. An indirect method of measurement is used in deriving the economic base of Minnesota and its 13 development regions. Employment in excess of the national average in each industry is derived as a surrogate for export-producing employment. This measurement of the economic base shows the declining importance of agriculture and agriculture-related industries in each sub-state region. While agriculture and agriculture-related employment is declining, non-agricultural manufacturing and service industry employment is increasing. Five above-average growth industries are projected to increase from 47.4 percent of total excess employment in 1970 to 74.8 percent of the total in the year 2000. Total industry employment is derived with a shift and-share model. I n this projection method, the total change in employment is partitioned into three sources: the national-growth effect, the industry-mix effect, and the regional-share effect. The shifts in total employment from dependence on agriculture to dependence on manufacturing and services are forecast by the industry-mix and the regional-share effects in the shift-and-share forecasting approach.
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    Income Trends and Projections for Minnesota and Its Substate Development Regions
    (Minnesota Agricultural Experiment Station, 1979) Maki, Wilbur R.
    Total earnings of the employed work force in Minnesota and its substate development regions are presented for an 11-industry breakdown of the economy. Total personal income is derived, in large part, from total earnings. Both total earnings and personal income levels are presented for the 30-year period from 1970 to 2000. The shift-and-share method is used in the preparation of the substate total earnings and personal income projections.