Bureau of Business and Economic Research (BBER) Working Papers
Persistent link for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/11299/264394
This collection contains Working Papers from the Bureau of Business and Economic Research. Items date from 1977 to 2002.
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Item Copper-Nickel Studies(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1979) Lichty, Richard W; Steinnes, Donald NItem Identifying Sub-Areas that Comprise a Greater Metropolitan Area: The Criterion of County Relative Efficiency(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1997-03) Raab, Raymond L; Lichty, Richard W; Moon, StevenData Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is used to measure and rank the relative efficiency of thirty-two counties comprising the Greater Minneapolis-St. Paul Metropolitan Region. This approach supports the notion that the greatest external economies originate in the urban core and decline as one moves toward the transitional areas and the periphery. DEA is a multi-input, multi-output optimization model used to form a frontier of “best practice” counties. By employing the 1993 IMPLAN input-output database and county estimates of three forms of final payments to represent inputs and four categories of final demands to represent outputs, DEA can rank counties which produce a maximum amount of output, while utilizing a minimum amount of inputs. In addition we use a sensitivity analysis introduced by Charnes et al. (1992) and (1996) to determine the robustness of the efficiency classifications. This approach confirms the relative efficiency differences expected between the three groups identified as the metropolitan core, the transitional area and periphery.Item An Efficiency Analysis of Minnesota Counties: A Data Envelopment Analysis Using 1993 IMPLAN Input-output Analysis(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1996-12) Raab, Raymond L; Lichty, Richard WData Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a multi-input, multi-output optimization model used to measure relative efficiency or the best practice counties. The IMPLAN input-output 1993 database and software estimates gross output, final demand, and final payments categories at the county level. The IMP LAN data contains estimates of four forms of final payments. Transfer payments are added as inputs but are taken from a separate source. IMPLAN also includes four forms of final demand as outputs. These inputs and outputs form a production frontier of "best practice" counties. Deviations below the frontier will be used to measure the degree of county inefficiencies based upon minimizing the use of inputs and maximizing the sale of outputs. Measurement of relative county efficiencies allow comparison between urban core counties, suburban transitional counties and rural periphery counties. County comparisons of returns to scale verify the existing body of land rent theories. Agglomeration economies measured by DEA efficiency scores and returns to scale measured by DEA frontier intercepts imply that location and urbanization economies are largest in urban core counties and that their effects diminish as distance from the core increases.Item Direct Economic Impact: Primary Forest Products Industry, Seven County Arrowhead Region, Northeastern Minnesota(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1981-03) Friest, Philip L; Kallio, EdwinItem An Information Manual of Minnesota County Fairs (1985)(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-06) Bluhm, JackieItem The Role of Foreign Language Training in Internationalizing the Business Curriculum(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Stone, Gregory B; Rubenfeld, Stephen AItem Cross-Country Skier Trends and Profiles(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-01) Stauty, Donald M; Borchert, LeAnn L; Seybolt, Jane WItem On Using Local Economic Indicators to Forecast the Demand for Hospital Services(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Steinnes, Donald NItem Forecasting State Tax Revenues: A Simple Alternative(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Steinnes, Donald N; Wong, Shee QRecently the State of Minnesota experienced a fiscal emergency as a result, in part, of an inability to accurately forecast tax revenues. The approach used by the State is based on an econometric model that attempts to specify the linkages between the national and state economies. Such econometric models have been challenged because of their inability to forecast by those who propose a more mechanical, or statistical, approach. While econometric models estimate equations specified by theory, the statistical approach finds the best "model," or forecasting equation based on statistical criterion alone. Using a forecast error criterion, recent studies have shown that one fitting approach, vector autoregression (VAR) can outperform econometric models. Given the complexity of VAR, as opposed to some simpler statistical approaches available, a question arises as to whether VAR significantly out-forecasts such naive methods. In this paper a simple time series method, Box-Jenkins analysis, is used to forecast monthly revenues for Minnesota using data from 1970-84 and the results compare favorably to VAR and econometric models for both aggregate (total tax) and disaggregated (sales and income tax) specifications.Item Trends in the Camping Industry(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Wood, Thomas JItem A Brief Look at the Status of the Construction Industry in Duluth and Northeastern Minnesota: Volume XI(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-04) Gronseth, Glenn OItem The Choice of "Take it or Leave It" Positions(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-04) Mitchell, Ted J; Dion, Paul AThis paper reports the results of an experiment which was designed to test the proposition that negotiators choose their take-it-or-leave-it positions with respect to their own preferences for their best alternative in the absence of an agreement. The results do not support the proposition and suggest that negotiators choose their bargaining positions to be certain of including at least one outcome that they believe ought to be acceptable to the opponent. The choice of a take-it-or-leave-it position appears to be bounded by the negotiator's security level or maximin value on the lower side and the negotiator's minimum LOA on the upper side. The value of the past agreement is a strong predictor of a negotiator's take-it-or-leave-it value if the contract which represents this value is believed to be at least as acceptable to the opponent as it was in the previous situation.Item Regional Population and Employment 1976-1983(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-05) Gronseth, Glenn O; Skurla, James AItem The Role of Feedback and Disclosure in Shaping Work Relationships(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Newstrom, John W; Rubenfeld, Stephen AItem Duluth Tourist Survey, 1978(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1979) Peterson, Jerrold MItem Visitor Trend Analysis Indian Point Campground Duluth, Minnesota(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-03) Wood, Thomas J; Borchert, LeAnn L; Seybolt, Jane W; Brown, Becky; MacLachlan, MargeryItem Analysis of the Economic Impact of Travel on Minnesota Counties for 1983(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985-01) Wood, Thomas JItem Potential Utilization of Tourism-Oriented Small Businesses in Northeastern Minnesota by the Disabled(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1984-12) Borchert, LeAnn L; Dunphy, Donine; Holte, IneseThis study of recreational facilities for special populations in Northeastern Minnesota was prepared by the Tourism Management and Development Center at the University of Minnesota, Duluth. This research was Development Center located Economics at UMD. supported by the Small Business in the School of Business and The project had two purposes: 1) to identify user patterns of the disabled, and 2) to identify resorts, campgrounds, motels, and interpretive centers that are designed to accommodate disabled people. This manual is designed for use by the disabled community and by facility owners and managers. Special population groups and individuals can use the last half of this manual to determine which resorts, campgrounds, motels or museums may have facilities to meet their needs. Owners of these kinds of recreational facilities may use this manual to determine what types of improvements need to be made in order to increase their attraction to people with special needs.Item The Uneasy Alliance between Employers and the Job Service(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Strouble, Dennis; Rubenfeld, StephenThe recruitment of highly qualified applicants is essential to the success of any selection system. A national survey was conducted to assess the extent to which manufacturing employers view public employment agencies as playing a viable role in their recruitment process. This study examined the characteristics of users and nonusers of the Job Service, the extent and nature of use, and the employers' assessment of the services provided. The data indicate that the limited success of the Job Service in increasing the number and quality of positions listed is due in large part to a failure to inspire the confidence of employers. The availability of no cost referrals was valued, but employers considered prescreening to be inadequate and criticized the quality and motivation of referred candidates. These results tend to support data and anecdotal evidence reported by other authors.Item Organizational Self-Esteem: Construct and Scale Introduction(Bureau of Business and Economic Research, 1985) Pierce, Jon L; Knudsen, Kjell R; Hawley, JohnThe construct organizational self-esteem and its operationalization are introduced. A partial nomological network is developed resulting in a set of hypotheses that served to guide efforts to validate the research scale. Scale dimensionality, stability of dimensions, internal consistency, convergent validity, and concurrent and predictive validity estimates were inspected through the conduct of two field studies and a laboratory experiment. Results provide initial validation evidence for the scale. Recommendations for future validation research are suggested.