LARRY JACOBS: I'm Larry Jacobs. I'm a faculty here at the University of Minnesota. I want to welcome you to the Humphrey School of Public Affairs. This is the University of Minnesota's School of Public Affairs. I want to first give you a heads up of some upcoming programs. On March 3, we're going to have Tim Pawlenty here as part of a really terrific program on health care transformation. We've talked a whole lot about MNsure, about reforms of the insurance side. This is going back to the agenda that Governor Pawlenty really pioneered of looking at ways in which we can work bipartisan, cross-sector ways to transform how health care is delivered. There's an all-star cast of people who are coming together, both in the legislature but also across Minnesota's really pretty impressive health care delivery system. And then May 19, Mayor Betsy Hodges will be here, talking about her equity agenda. That will be at 6:00 PM. And the talk will be over here in Coles Auditorium. A couple quick notes about tonight's program. Professor Sanderson will come up and give a presentation. He'll then be joined by Doug Hartman. Professor Sanderson is a very well-known expert on the economics of sports. If you're cruising the internet, you will see him everywhere. And so we're really quite grateful that he's joined us here today. More information on our bio card. Moderating the conversation will be my good friend and colleague in the sociology department, Doug Hartman. Doug is responsible for tonight's program. I'm just Doug's gopher and putting it together. And Doug himself is a very highly regarded citizen here at the university. and looking at the university's athletics programs, the athletes. He's also a noted scholar. His book, Race, Culture, and Revolt of the Black Athlete was published by the University of Chicago Press and deservedly has received a lot of attention. As part of the conversation that Doug's going to be moderating with professor Sanderson, we invite you to fill out cards for questions. The reason we do this is it helps us to place our programs on Minnesota Public Radio. Many of our programs are rebroadcast. And one of the reasons is we're easy. You just take the program and you run it. Whereas, if you have people standing up, you've got to run mics around. And anyway, you get the idea. This is not a way to weed out questions. We invite and welcome dissent. So please submit your questions. We'll get to as many as possible. And because this is an evening program, we do have a nice little buffet afterwards if you want to stop and visit and have a little light dinner. Without further ado, please join me in welcoming Allen Sanderson. [APPLAUSE] ALLEN SANDERSON: Thank you very much, Larry. It's a pleasure to be here today. Rather be here than Chicago's horrible weather we've had this week. Anyway, I hope we'll have a good session. You can feel free to interrupt me if you want to, I suppose. Just don't throw anything. Don't want to make this look like a Sanders or Trump rally, as we go through these. I actually teach more students than anyone at the University of Chicago and including a undergraduate course on the business of sports. I got into this, probably, 20 years ago, along with other fields in which I do research because of the baseball player strike., '94, '95 and then a lot of work stoppages in other leagues, as well as portable franchises of teams switching cities. I do a lot of work on economic impact analysis, whether it's work on sports, as well as economic impact of universities on their communities, the Obama Presidential Library coming to the South side of Chicago. Hollywood production, film productions, and do they really benefit cities or states? The answer's there, it's pretty clear. The same with the movement of corporate headquarters. And a year ago, almost a year ago, I worked last summer for the mayor of Boston and the governor of Massachusetts. Because Boston was the candidate city to host-- the American candidate city to host the 2024 Olympic games. And the officials wanted to know, what are we in for now that we've been selected as? So we worked through the summer, submitted our report to them on a Friday afternoon. And on the subsequent following Monday morning, Boston withdrew its bid, so smart guys. They could have-- there are probably only two cities in the United States that should ever bid for Summer Olympics. And Boston being one, Los Angeles the other. And Boston could have been competitive in that. But I don't think they did a very good job with it. Then I was trying to-- I tried to advise the mayor of St Louis and the Board of Aldermen what to do about the proposed defection of the St Louis Rams football team to Los Angeles. So I'm a White Sox fan, sorry, but White Sox fan by location. But Cubs owner, Tom Ricketts' a good friend. So I can be bought, if necessary. Clark Griffith, a longtime resident of here, is a good friend. I've known Clark and family for a number of years. In some ways, this is strange to talk about the University of Chicago in the same breath as sports or college athletics. And yet, there are a lot of famous threads through this. The University of Chicago was an original member of the Big Ten. And actually, I think the way the charter reads, anytime Chicago wants back in, it's allowed to get back in. And the last team to enter the Big Ten has to leave at that point. But our football team is not all that interested in being killed by any other Big Ten team. We are actually 4 and 0 lifetime against Notre Dame in football. But that's a long time ago. We're also, as many of you may know, the first Heisman Trophy winner. Jay Berwanger was the University of Chicago halfback. And the trophy itself is modeled. Jay was the model for that. He played on a losing football team. It's interesting because when the boy wonder, Hutchins, came in as president in the 1929 in Chicago, one of his educational agendas was that the last two years of high school are worthless. You ought to just skip those and go on to college. And I'm not sure, educationally, maybe that's true, maybe it's not. But what it meant in the mid-30s is, we had a lot of young players. And it may well have been that this 14-year-old kid was a really bright student. He just made a very poor lineman. And the university was being trounced 60 to 0 every weekend in the late 30s and decided to give it up. We faced a choice. We're either going to have to put a lot more money into football, or we're going to have to stop playing. And we chose to stop playing. I think, it was largely-- it wasn't a philosophical, or ethical decision, as much as it was an economic decision as to which way we would go. We also cheated on our friends very early in paying a coach. 100 years ago or so, coaches were not paid. They were volunteers with their athletic teams. We paid someone, lured him. Amos Alonzo Stagg, to the University of Chicago. Then later, we named the football stadium, Stagg field. It was the place under which Enrico Fermi under the grandstands, that Enrico Fermi and his colleagues really ushered in the atomic age and at that point, the atomic bomb. Then we tore down the football stadium to build our main library. And I would say that there are a number of universities, who would be glad to tear down their library to build a football stadium. We chose to go in the other direction with that. So homecoming at the University of Chicago every October does include a football game. We are now a Division III team. But largely, the day is spent with parents and alumni coming back and going to model classes and attending other academic events at the institution. Also, strange as it may be, the first academic article ever written on the economics of sports was written at the University of Chicago by Simon Rottenberg, who was a postdoctoral fellow, went on to have a decent career at the University of Massachusetts Amherst. But his book was-- excuse me, the article, which was published in one of the leading journals, was called "The Baseball Player's Labor Market" and this 1956, exactly 60 years ago. And it was at a time when the baseball player's labor market was quite restricted-- the reserve clause, no free agency, no unionization. And he looked at the front of the obvious things that are going to come out under those kind of balances. About two years ago, a leading journal in the field, the editor of which is actually in Minneapolis at Macalester College, approached me and say, would you be willing to write an article, long journal article, academic article on the case for paying college athletes. And I said, sure. And so it was published a year ago, March. And the journal has had a reasonable circulation since then. It's interesting that this college sports is a uniquely American phenomenon. I don't say that in a positive way, or a negative way. It's just a comment. There's no other country that runs this kind of a training ground for athletes. And there are very, very few universities that have in their mission statements, or their charters, anything to do with providing large scale athletic entertainment for faculty, students, alumni, whatever. So it is a little bit strange and a little bit of an odd bedfellow, such that, a lot of times, terms have been coined to give it a flavor, or to separate it out. One of them, as you probably know, the former commissioner of the Big Ten, Walter Byers, coined the term "student athlete." And it makes no bones about it. He coined the term to get around the fact that these might, in fact, be employees. Or there are other kinds of rules that universities have that they might be subject to, where if there are student athletes, we can get by with lots of things that we really want to do anyway. So in some ways, their student athletes are like interns. That may, in turn, for a nonprofit organization during the summer largely means we're not being paid. Some organizations pay interns. Most do not. Then also the term, we talk about amateur athletics. And amateur is a relic of 19th century British society. It has nothing to do with amateurs. We think of amateur, it's more of I'm rich enough that I can afford to have a hobby. And so I'm an amateur at what I do. The other one that has always amazed me is in the fall during football games, when they will refer to a player as a true freshman, OK. I never think of the students I teach as true freshmen, or true sophomores. They're just freshmen, or sophomores, or graduate students, or whatever but true freshmen. In this state, in my own state, in 47 of our 50 states in the United States, the highest paid public official is either a football coach, or a basketball coach. Broadly defined on the Pentagon budget, the three highest paid Pentagon officials are the football coaches at army, navy, and air force. At least, that may explain a lot. And probably, we don't want to. As the old saw goes, I suppose that the key to being a successful university president is providing sex for the students, parking for the faculty, and football for the alumni. If you can do that, you'll have a long career. 30 years ago in inflation-adjusted dollars, CBS paid the National Collegiate Athletic Association, NCAA, 30 years ago, inflation-adjusted dollars, $12 million to broadcast the men's basketball tournament, March Madness. Though currently and now into the future, the price will be over $1 billion a year. So we've moved from 12 million to over a billion. A, that's a lot of money by anybody's standard. Second is, I think in part, it has to do with a lot of the unease that's happening in college athletics. That when there wasn't much money on the table, it was OK if the coach made a reasonable amount of money, or yeah, we're working these kids maybe harder than we should, or whatever. But once the number moves to $1 billion dollars and then other institutional monies, it just makes more and more people nervous, whether they're academics or not in terms of-- and you see coaches with $7 million salaries, virtually all coaches have. And the big power conferences, football coaches, they're going to have seven figure salaries. Some of them, probably eight figure salaries. That just starts making people nervous. And also, when you start looking at football teams and you look at-- I didn't count, but I think that something like 18 of the 20 starters in the final four basketball tournament were Black. That starts making people nervous as well. So while it's been the best of times on the one hand for the NCAA, it's also been, in some ways, the worst of times because of the academic scandals and the non-academic scandals that have just been pervasive. And you can talk about phony bogus courses. 3,100 students taking bogus courses didn't exist at the University of North Carolina, a highly respected institution. University of Miami, maybe not so highly regarded, but nevertheless, the scandals that are going on there. Penn State, University of Illinois, University of Minnesota, that all of a sudden, people, coaches, players, administrators are behaving very badly and in some cases, alumni, very badly. In addition to this court of public opinion that's turning a little bit against this notion of amateur athletics or student athletes are the legal challenges. One that was settled last year-- and there's some overhang but it's basically settled, and the checks are in the mail-- Ed O'Bannon, former UCLA basketball player, who then went on to play in the pros, sued-- in part of a class action suit, sued the NCAA and video makers for the fact they were using his likeness without any compensation. Because when I signed a contract to play football at the University of Minnesota, or any place, there's a line in there, a paragraph, that says that the university owns my likeness forever. So O'Bannon won that suit, that settled. I suspect the-- I said today at lunch, it's interesting, when we first started sending professional athletes because we got goaded into it to the Olympics, we sent the Dream Team to Barcelona in 1992. 11 all-stars from the National Basketball Association and Christian Laettner, who was a senior at Duke. But the Dream Team t-shirt-- and we just mopped everybody. But the Dream Team t-shirt only has 11 faces. It doesn't have 12. And I say, who's not there? It's not Christian Laettner. He's there. It's Michael Jordan. Because Michael Jordan and Nike said, we own that image. And if you want to pay us, then yeah, we'll put Michael's face. You can put Michael's face on the t-shirt. But otherwise, no, OK. None of the other athletes had any problem with it. Jordan did, OK. There are a couple wage fixing suits that are out there. I don't think the Northwestern case is really resolved yet in terms of, are these going to be considered employees, or students. The NCAA will survive those lawsuits. It'll take a chunk out of their wallets, but they will survive. The one the NCAA cannot survive is a suit that's being brought by Jeff Kessler, a very well-known labor lawyer in a class action suit, arguing that the NCAA is price fixing, in this case, wage fixing on the value, or the economic worth of a grant and aid of room and board, tuition fees, and incidental expenses. And that if he wins and he may well win, it's over for the NCAA. And then what happens next? One, plausible, as well as possible, and perhaps even likely outcome, is that the NCAA will cease to exist other than a record keeping organization and providing histories. But the power conferences, of which Minnesota is one part of the Big Ten, the power conferences will split off and have their own units. It will be the Pac 12, or the Big Ten, or the Southeast Conference, or whatever. And they can make decisions within that conference that would probably pass institutional muster-- excuse me, constitutional muster if there were in fact viable six conferences. The Supreme Court would probably let that go. It's not being a violation of antitrust laws, as long as the Big Ten didn't talk to the Pac 12 about compensation or anything else. The other, which, I think, is interesting. In 1994, 1995, during the baseball strike, a lot of people were unhappy. There was no World Series. That's totally un-American. And so they started legislation moving through Congress. And one piece of legislation would have stripped baseball of its remaining pieces of antitrust exemption it has. So if I say, how are senators lining up on that vote? Let me give you one example, and that's California. The two senators from California at the time, who are still the same two senators from California, are Barbara Boxer and Dianne Feinstein. One would, in terms of politics, think of Barbara Boxer as a liberal Democrat, sort of Bernie Sanders like. Dianne Feinstein's sort of moderate Democrat. Their voting records suggest that they're going to be on the side of the little guy and against whether it's Wall Street, or anything else. But the larger, powerful institutions, that's their voting record. How did they vote in 1994, 1995 to retain baseball's antitrust exemption? Why? Because I think California has five baseball teams. And somebody got to them and said, don't mess around here. You don't know what you're doing. How does that relate to the NCAA? Alabama has two senators. If there's a bill in Congress to strip the NCAA from any antitrust exemption and force it to be subject to Sherman Antitrust Act, I know how the two Alabama senators are going to vote, or they're going to be called ex-senators. And so you may well have a situation where the politics will trump the economics of that. The other possible outcome is that, at some point, colleges and universities collectively are just going to have to make some tough decisions. In true accounting basis, all but about 20 football programs in the country lose money, a lot of money. And those are monies that are being provided by student fees, or being forced by mandated student fees. They're also, in some ways, revenues that could go to the non-revenue sports that are being used to prop up football programs. It may, at some point, universities just decide, enough is enough. We just can't do this. And I suspect a possibility of the five, or six power conferences stayed in business. OK, that's still a lot of football teams to be more than twice the number of in the NFL. And everybody else would decide, we really can't afford this. Let's scale down and have our athletes actually be students. And we're just going to play this at a much smaller scale. So I think, that's a possibility, so OK. What I would object to specifically, or economists, in general, is just the NCAA has enormous monopoly power but not unlimited because they have to compete with the NFL and the NBA, both of whom benefit enormously from this current arrangement in college athletics by not having to pay for the training of their future players. So anyway, the pro league has benefit from that. But I think, their stronger power that the NCAA has is not monopoly power in terms of selling because they have to compete with all other forms of entertainment on television, or in venues, but it's on the monopsony side, the input side of the market, where they have virtually total control over 18-year-old kids, in terms of what they can do or cannot. And 18-year-old kids cannot go on because of the cozy arrangement, can't go on and play in the NFL at age 18, or 19, or 20 and nor can football, basketball players. The NBA commissioner, Adam Silver, is a graduate of the University of Chicago Law School and very much in favor of increasing that limit before you could go into the pros. If you're an 18-year-old and you want to go to Hollywood and try to be an actor or actress, or you want to go to Nashville and do country music, there's nothing that says you can't do this. But if I wanted to play in the NBA, or I want to play in the NFL, yes, I'm not allowed to do that. So the input side power that the NCAA has is probably much more valuable to them than is the monopoly power on the other side, so OK. Well. I think, you want me to stop at this point? OK, the boss says stop, so thank you. Thank you. [APPLAUSE] Let me just reiterate, too, that we're going to talk about calling, I think, in terms of questions, college athletes. But if you want to go off on some other sports economics issues, fine with me. Talk about the Olympic games, does this help? Does this not help? Do stadiums help? Do they not help? Anyway, I'm willing to take other kinds of things broadly defined as that, OK? Will the Cubs win the World Series in 2016? Probably not, thank you. DOUG HARTMAN: Thanks, Allen. So we're going to do-- I'm going to start it off with a couple of questions. But we invite other people. The cards are in the back and those can come forward. And as professor Sanderson said, we'll focus on the college athlete payment issue first. But we'll take some, as we go in if people have other issues to raise. I wanted to mention and frame what we've been hearing about here. Larry and I have been hoping to do something on economics in sport for a while in this venue, thinking of its broad public significance and interest. But it took us a while to find the right topic and the right economist. So last spring, when professor Sanderson's piece on paying college athletes came out, it seemed like a great fit, both that he was willing and it's a topic that we thought was timely and a great conversation starter on campus. We had him this afternoon actually speak with the faculty coach luncheon series to stimulate conversation among our leadership here about issues with college athletics. And I wanted to say, as I think about this, I'm less worried about the specific question of, do we pay college athletes or not? Which, in the paper, the authors are very clear that it's really not-- that's not the right question because they're already compensated. It's how much they get and how that's distributed. But even that, for me, is less significant and important than the issues that are raised in the work about the value of college athletics, why we do this crazy thing that nobody else in the world does. Does that match up with our mission or not? And then especially, the transformative changes that have happened in the landscape of athletics in the last 25 or 50 years, especially on the revenue side. And I want to start to wrap this up and turn it into a question, Allen. So to me, the really important point that comes through in your work is that the point is change is coming. These revenues are unbelievable. It's hard to manage. It doesn't necessarily fit the mission of many institutions. Change is coming. The issue is, how we deal with that? And I guess, the first question I wanted to throw at you, and it's just to maybe flesh out a little bit more, why then focus on payment of college athletes? ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, let me just add a footnote, maybe, to your first comments, or paragraphs there of what you said. I agree. For us, I mean, for the University of Chicago, or for universities in general, one of the things that bothers me about it is, potentially, it's the corruption. And I don't mean corruption in a sense, corruption of values. That it cheapens what universities do. It taints what universities do. And it's hard to not be sullied by these things that are going on in campus. And again, you name your university, I can tell you the scandal. And I think, that corruption of values is a big issue. I was telling Doug earlier, you may have heard it, there was an old line by Bobby Knight. He was the long time basketball coach at Indiana University. And this goes way back, back in the Watergate days. And he had sort of a throwaway line. He said, I'll bet when they get to the bottom of Watergate, they find a football coach. DOUG HARTMAN: By the way, that didn't get those laughs in the afternoon event earlier. [LAUGHTER] ALLEN SANDERSON: It's hard not to just be sullied by this stuff that goes on, on campus. DOUG HARTMAN: But could we-- so let me rephrase my question on this a little bit. Because I think a lot of the problems are driven by this unbelievable obscene amounts of revenue that are getting generated. And what to do with that? Should we be part of that? And so I guess I'm throwing it to you in terms of so, why focus on the payment of student athletes as a vehicle for talking about this, or maybe as our institutional response? And maybe to even put a point on it, does that just-- isn't that just part of the problem? I mean, so just redistributing the money doesn't get rid of it. So what's the kind of rationale, even, for taking the opportunity to write about college student athlete payment? And how does that address these larger macro issues? ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, again, any institution, or any firm, whether it's General Motors, or the University of Chicago, or University of Minnesota, faces constraints. We've got certain revenues coming in and how do we allocate this across various institutions, or things within an institution? But, I think, it taints higher education as a whole. And just, again, I wish universities-- I suppose in my ideal world, it would be that we moved to, in some ways, a Major League Baseball model, where there are minor leagues and players, who want to be in the NBA or NFL can play in minor leagues. And also, that the-- one of the sources of revenue that's not coming in to college, on college athletes is, in fact, from the NBA and NFL that are benefiting enormously from having these kids go through two or three years of training. They're just getting free-- they're free riding off of this stuff. So I wish that they would be-- we'd acknowledge the complicity there. DOUG HARTMAN: Great. And if people have questions, we'll start to collect those in a bit. I've got a couple, but I don't want to monopolize it too much. Let me follow them-- ALLEN SANDERSON: Yes, I'll just make one other comment. Your point, people say, we shouldn't pay college athletes. And as Doug said, they're already being paid. It's just a matter of how much. Because at one point, it was zero. Now, it's room and board, tuition and fees. And depending on which conference you're in, it could be a little bit above that. But zero is not the lower bound, OK. You could have situations, where, in fact, athletes have to pay to come to college like everybody else. But there would be a pot of money set aside that they could use for later on after their pro careers are over. And very few of them go into the pros. But to graduate from college, or to get a graduate degree in something, or start a small business, that's a possibility. Or given this unequal distribution because some-- I don't know the numbers at the University of Minnesota, somebody may in the room, or you all do in the room, as to how many players-- say, next week, the NFL draft in Chicago, how many players from the University of Minnesota football team are going to be drafted by an NFL team and actually make the squad. Number is going to be pretty small. But for three, or four years, they may make a lot of money. Maybe that universities would provide the education in exchange for some fraction of their income later on-- so sort of equity kind of notions. In a totally other realm, the governor of Indiana has suggested this as a way to finance higher education. I should also say another, where I think it stays away from college athletes but affects institutions, if I look at the consumer price index, or how we track inflation, or the various parts of the consumer price index, there's one product that has increased over the last 20 years more than any other product-- tobacco. And it's not because it costs more to produce cigarettes, it's just that we've chosen to tax it. And we tax it immensely. So if you look at the change in the price of a pack of cigarettes, that's the highest rate of price increase in the country. Now, you can guess what number two is. College tuition. And whether it's public or private, it's college tuition. And at some point, maybe somebody wants to connect the dots by running this mega million dollar entertainment complex on the side, while college tuitions are going through the roof. So at some point, even college students may say, how much of my tuition is going to support something of which I'm just not at all interested in? Or is that causing my tuition to be going up at 5% or 6% a year when, virtually, everything else is so much below that-- so sorry. DOUG HARTMAN: So I've got a couple questions here that line up with one of the things that I wanted to ask about because it came up in some different ways this afternoon when we were talking with coaches and student athletes. The general question is about, who stands to benefit, or not benefit from this? I think it came up this-- ALLEN SANDERSON: This being paying the athletes? DOUG HARTMAN: Yeah, paying the athletes. We're still focus on that. A lot of the argument that you've made in publication has been about basketball and football. But what about other college sports and student athletes? I had one person, who put it specifically about, what's it mean to pay quarterbacks versus the swimmers? And another person put it maybe even a little more pointedly. It's an interesting idea, but how do we implement this without blowing up, or dismantling all the other sports teams, men's and women's, that we have at a place here, like the University of Minnesota? ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, a couple of things. One, as I said in my introductory comments, there are only 20 institutions in the country that make money off football. The rest of them all lose money and lose a lot. And they're just propped up by student fees and other things that are coming in. Rutgers leads the pack with something like $47 million being transferred from the student body to the athletic program. That keeps it afloat. If I take that as a general rule, what's happening at the moment is, it really is the football and, in some cases, the basketball team that's costing non-revenue sports money. Because money is being transferred from students in general to the football team, it's also being transferred from non-revenue sports, male and female, into the football team. And so in some ways, I say, what if you paid the players? A couple of things can happen. One is that the university just decides we're not going to do this anymore. We're not going to play at that level. At which point, there would be then those revenues that could go back to other men's non-revenue sports, women's sports. That's a distinct possibility, or a potential outcome that a university would decide to do. The other, it probably seems unseemly that the quarterback in the classroom is making $3 million, while the teacher whose teaching is making $50,000. That's a little bit of a perverse situation. But across universities, there's just an enormous variation in what faculty members make. Even within a department, some are going to be paid a lot, some little. And certainly across departments, people in the physical sciences, or in the business school, law school, medical school are going to be paid a lot. People who teach French and philosophy are probably not going to be paid very much. So there are enormous variations. So the fact that the quarterback makes more than the tight end, that just happens. DOUG HARTMAN: So I want to return to the first part of your answer because it's not the typical answer, counterintuitive for some folks, about basketball and football, for example, costing the other sports. Because I think, typically, we think of that the other way around in a big institution like this, that those sports are generating a large amount of revenue that's being redistributed to other sports, other student athletes, and especially women's sports. So how do you respond to that, or how do you work with that in the context of the inverse argument you gave just a minute ago? ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, so first of all, I mean, I think, I am correct in terms of how many institutions lose money as opposed to make money. But let's set that aside. Let's suppose the football team is making money, or a basketball team. Why are they making money? The primary reason they're making money is, they're not paying their chief input. That's the player. As I said today at noon, if the NBA got together, owners on one side of the table and the players and their union and their agents on the other and said, why don't we increase the-- by the way, the Minnesota Timberwolves just got Tom Thibodeau today as a coach. He's a very good guy, good coach. So good decision on your part. Bad decision on the Bulls part to let him go a year ago. But it was just a power struggle within the organization and personality conflicts. What was I-- oh, what did I start to say? DOUG HARTMAN: I think we were on the kind of redistribution of resources point. ALLEN SANDERSON: So if it turns out that the football team was-- oh, I know what I was going to say. Which is back in the heyday when I was really thinking about college-- I could have played college ball, I just couldn't start. And that was a big time commitment. But say, in the heyday of the 60s and 70s UCLA, if I go back to that, such a dominant basketball power, they were playing 25 games a year. UNC and Villanova played for the National championship a couple Monday nights ago. That was their 40th game. The NBA would be glad to move, and players would be glad to move from 82 to 100 game season. It's just the owners would get half the money and the players would get half the money. I'd say, OK, let's do it. Or let's compromise. How about 91, or something like that? You pick some number. But in college, if I-- should we play another game? Sure. Why? Because we don't have to pay the players. So it becomes advantageous. I was one of the few, I suppose, adamantly opposed to the playoff system in football. I can sleep reasonably well at night not knowing who's number one in football. That's not something I care as much. I can sleep well with the ambiguity. But why am I opposed to it? Because you're just taking athletes and going through two or three more weeks for nothing. Do they benefit? DOUG HARTMAN: You mean nothing for the athletes? ALLEN SANDERSON: Nothing for the athlete, no money. The coach gets more money. The institution gets more money. The athlete runs a bigger risk of getting injured in that three week period and there goes his pro career. So you expand the season. Football used to be 10 games. There's nothing magical about 10 games. Yeah, we have 10 fingers, but they are 10 games. It's 15 now for the teams that survived to the end of the-- you have conference tournaments and then the playoff system. Do they benefit from playing games? Sure, they're not being drafted and they're not slaves. They do have some right. I want to play. I don't want to play. But the benefits of a player playing 11th, 12th, 13th, 14th, 15th game, or the 38th, 39th, 40th. game of basketball are pretty marginal. And they're not for the institution. And they're not for the coach. They're the ones making off like bandits in here. Oh, so let me-- now the real, or the original question, which is, if you want to assume that the football team was making money and it's supporting non-revenue sports-- I don't think it's true in virtually very few cases-- but it supports the tennis team, it supports the volleyball team, it supports the wrestling team, I think there's one other equity question you have to ask. As an approximation, who are the football and basketball players, who are providing this revenue that's being transferred to other parts of the institution and they're being paid far less than what they're worth to the institution? To not put a real fine point on it, they're Black. So you've got Black football players. And you've Black basketball players, who are generating revenue so the coach can have his $10 million salary. And some money gets transferred to the non-revenue sports, male and female. Let me ask the second question. What's the demographic profile of non-revenue sport athletes? They're white. And they're middle class. So we've got a system where we're taking students-- if I allow that word to go-- we're taking students, putting them on a football team, and they're Black, and they're generating revenues that are supporting lots of other things within the athletic department. And they're maybe supporting, in that case, non-revenue sports. The non-revenue sports kids, I mean, 95% of college basketball players are white. Virtually all the volleyball players are swimmers, or others are white. And they're middle and upper income class kids. So it's a reverse Robin Hood. And we shouldn't be very happy about it. DOUG HARTMAN: Yeah, I would guess some of the reports that came out a few weeks ago around March Madness about the graduation rates of Black student athletes at the Big Five conferences feed into your sense-- and I don't usually think of economists using this term-- but an exploitation kind of an argument, maybe a different kind of exploitation. ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah. Well, and it's certainly an equity issue. Whether you like him or not, Bernie wants to transfer some money from rich people to poor people. And NCAA transfers money from poor people to rich people. It's the anti-Bernie in this case. DOUG HARTMAN: Some of the sociologists on this have called it a hidden form of affirmative action for middle class white kids. Got two different questions here, I'll just do one of them. But asks about your views about student athlete unionization. You kind of alluded to it before but didn't get into your own views on that. ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, look, I'm a Chicago economist. And so in an ideal Adam Smith world or something, I'm not a big unionization fan. I'm not a big unionization fan of my TAs being unionized. But I would say in the pro ranks in the NBA, say, or the NFL, as we said in that piece, on one side of the table is the league, the league owners, the commissioner, and the league owners, the league lawyers. On the other side of the table are the athletes, their agents, and their lawyers. That's not perfect competition by any means. But at least, it's a fair fight. What you have in the NCAA on one side is the university president, the lawyers, the NCAA, and the coaches, athletic department. What have you got on the other side of the table? A 17-year-old kid and his mom. OK, that's not a fair fight. And so in that sense of a second best solution, or something, I think, one thing that may have evolved, in fact, is unionization of college athletes. That's not all bad, in that it would offer them some protections that they don't have now. And again, there are too many numbers out there, too many cases. A big time football player or basketball player at a big time university, that's a full time job. And it's tending to be a full time job for 10 months a year, if not longer. And the height of whatever, a few years ago, when the NCAA said, we're going to relax the rules to allow the students to have room and board and tuition and fees and all that, we're going to allow them to hold part time jobs. Are you crazy? These guys can't hold part time jobs because their coach owns them from 6:00 in the morning until 10:00 o'clock at night. When are they going to have their part time job? So there are some potential benefits in that way, just because it levels the playing field in terms of the power from the athletic department of the institution and the power of the players. DOUG HARTMAN: By the way, the time to-- the NCAA itself just did a time demand study of Division I athletes-- I think, this is what Allen is referring to-- that shows student athletes lives are pretty deeply scheduled. And one of the things that was interesting in that study, though, is that the different ways that student athletes think about that from coaches, where even within the NCAA, student athletes, who accept a lot of the responsibilities and demands are hoping to limit that in certain respects, like one or two days a week off, some additional weeks at the end of the season. But their opinions are different from the coaches. I guess, that's more of a-- to back up what Allen was kind of speaking to there. ALLEN SANDERSON: I talked to Doug about it earlier, so I won't mention names of institutions, or names, whatever. But a few years ago at dinner with someone, a well-known person, his son played baseball at one of the Big Ten universities. It's not here. Played baseball. So this is baseball at a Big Ten school. We're not talking football at Auburn. But the coach at that institution-- and it is, I would say, academically in the top half or higher of the Big Ten. The coach had a rule for road trips-- no books. They could not take a book. He didn't want them to be distracted. I mean, that strikes me as outrageous, OK. DOUG HARTMAN: That seems like the kind of institution where unionization might have a chance. ALLEN SANDERSON: Yes. DOUG HARTMAN: OK, so we touched on this before. You were talking about the racial exploitation. And we touched on the gender issue. But I've got a couple more questions on that. So let me just throw it back at you here. Would it be a violation of Title IX to pay only male athletes? Because you're talking mostly about football and basketball, men's basketball, and not female athletes. And what would be the consequences of this? ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, and I don't really know. It's a very good question. It's a complicated one. If it turns out that players get defined as employees, that actually helps the situation. And I don't mean helps in terms of that just keeps beating women down. I mean, Title IX would not apply in those cases. It doesn't apply to employees. And it applies to students, as it were, in those programs. So in some ways, an institution that had unionization and had their football, or basketball team, or all their athletes defined as employees wouldn't hurt Title IX. DOUG HARTMAN: Oh, I see. ALLEN SANDERSON: If they are, in fact, students, then there is, yes, a potential problem. But again, it's how the institution does this. My own sense coming back to the-- look, I think, it's really a good thing that, say, a university has a volleyball team and has a fencing team and has a swim team and a diving team. I just don't think that should be paid for on the backs of the football and men's basketball programs. That if you want to have the football-- excuse me, if you want to have the fencing, or volleyball, or gymnastics, terrific. But then the institution should pay for it. That's a decision that it should make. And that's true for men and women. DOUG HARTMAN: That sounds like a rational economics argument. Which transitions me to one of my favorite questions from you guys. Because it's saying, so you're an economist. Economists usually think about people as rational actors. Why is it that colleges and universities, in spite of the costs that you've talked about, keep, not only investing in sport, but wanting to do it more and more? And I'd give-- like how many schools want to move from Division II to Division I. ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah. There is now a wing of economics, which is called behavioral economics. Which I'm not a big behavioral guy. I'm more of the rational actor kind of guys. I would answer it in the following way. I believe that universities, given the current setup, are acting rationally. What do I mean by the current setup? DOUG HARTMAN: I was going to say that, but I thought you'd answer it. ALLEN SANDERSON: Not paying the players. You just got this enorm-- I'll give you an example. We believe that economists, or anybody, firms in the same industry, should have about the same cost structure, OK. So I would expect the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal to have about the same cost structure in terms of how much of their total costs, or revenue are allocated to paper, to labor, to utilities, or whatever. I would suspect that Wendy's and Burger King, McDonald's have approximately the same cost structure in how much are we spending for meat and buns and other kinds of things. That doesn't mean that Wendy's and the New York Times should have the same cost structure. But if I say, give me two firms that are in the same industry. Let's call it the Detroit Lions football team. And let's call it the University of Michigan Wolverines. They're football team. They're in the same industry. Half of the Detroit Lions' revenue or cost for Detroit Lions is player salaries, player compensation. It's about half. It's a little over half. What is it that the University of Michigan? 10%. That gives you some idea of how much exploitation is going on here. Because you would expect the University of Michigan to have about half of its costs be allocated to players, or personnel labor. And so it gives you some idea of just how much exploitation. So I think, they are rational actors. Another thing that happens, and it's also within the realm of economics, it's called the theory of public choice. It's in the role of government. We have one role of government is the government exists because it helps to correct market imperfections, whether those be maldistributions of income, or externalities in terms of somebody imposing costs on somebody else. So there's the rationale. But the public choice view of this is that a lot of government actions is basically under the heading of special interest effects, small cohesive groups, OK. Now, give you an example. In the United States because of we don't like Cuba, Americans pay about twice the world price for sugar. We pay about $2 for a 5 pounds bag. The rest of the world pays about $1 for a 5 pounds bag. The typical American cakes and pies and coffees and everything like that eats about 12 bags of sugar a year-- I mean, not directly but indirectly. OK, so that means that the average American is spending $12 more for sugar than he or she would be spending if they were in Canada, or Mexico, or any other country that doesn't prohibit these importations. So how mad can you get for $12? About $12 mad. It doesn't make sense to buy any more than $12 worth of post office-- or postcards and mail dirty things to your senators, or the president. Don't sign it if you do. But we have 11,000 sugar growers in the United States-- beet sugar in the Utah. Idaho, Colorado areas, cane sugar, Louisiana, Florida. How mad could they get if we changed our policy? About $300,000 per grower. OK, you can get $12 mad. They can get $300,000 mad. They're going to spend a lot more time talking to their representatives and having the sugar lobby on K Street in Washington, DC, and so forth. Now, there are winners and there are losers. The winners from our current policy are sugar growers. The losers are American consumers that lose the same amount as the sugar growers get. It's a very small per person amount. So how does this apply to college athletics? And it does. Which is, there are-- the same thing is true of sports stadiums. Do sports stadiums stimulate economic development, or do they provide a good rate of return for a city? No. But they do benefit some people. They benefit the developers. They benefit the guys doing the bond deals. They benefit the construction unions and construction firms. Which, it costs the taxpayers $25 or $50 a piece or something for that inefficiency. And I think, the same thing is going on here. That there are just some-- in George Orwell's terms, some animals, or whatever he said, are created more equal than others, or something. That they're just in terms of access to a mayor, or to a governor, or to a university president, you get this kind of special interest effects here. That there's something they want and they're willing to keep at it until they get it. DOUG HARTMAN: We do have a couple of big picture economic sports questions I want to get to because we said we'd do that. But before I do that, so is it fair to say, though, that the benefits of college athletics at a university, especially like a big public land grant institution, though, are not only economic? I know that it's hard to put numbers on that. But I'm thinking, especially here, how a lot of people that are athletic supporters think of the sports teams as the front porch, the public visibility face of the university. How do you-- I don't know if you can quantify that in economic terms, but in terms of the relation to the value and intangible value, maybe, of the enterprise. ALLEN SANDERSON: No, no, it's a good question. And certainly, if I say, how does a university-- what does the evidence suggest? Does a University with a big athletic program, or something get more money from the state legislature? A little bit more, not that much. Do they get more applicants? Yeah, but not that many more. And the numbers tend to be reasonably small. They're in that direction. But yeah, it's this sort of Go Gophers, or something value that people place. It's hard to do contingent valuation studies. It's not impossible. But you can get some kind of measure. The people who say, oh, the benefits are just incalculable. Well, if you say incalculable, then the game is over. Because you could pick any number you want to justify anything you want to do. But yeah, do I-- it depends. Again, do I think the Green Bay Packers have a significant economic impact, or something on the Green Bay economy and the people in the area? Yes, approximately. And I hope it's not your home because there's nothing else to do there. But in a major Metropolitan area, which is this is one, Chicago's there, is another-- there are lots of other things to do. And people are pretty good at finding alternative things to do. DOUG HARTMAN: So getting into the bigger picture, I got a couple of questions. But the one I wanted to-- that seems burning to me is, somebody wanted to know, what advice did you give the city of St Louis? ALLEN SANDERSON: I just sort of laid out for them what-- St Louis was faced with unless we build Kronke, basically, a $1 billion stadium, he's going to leave. And I said to them privately, trust me, he's going to leave anyway, so it doesn't matter. So offer him $1 billion because he's never going to take you up on it. But tried to say-- St Louis, Pittsburgh, these are-- the thing that's tough about St Louis and Pittsburgh is similar-- I have no idea about Minneapolis St Paul-- is that the legal, the accounting, economic entities are like a hole in a donut and the donut. And the hole in the donut, meaning the Center City, or the city proper in St Louis is very small, as it is in Pittsburgh. And the city can't tax the suburbs. It can only tax the city, that they were under-- they would have been under huge, huge cost and that just on financial grounds. Again, they were going to go anyway. But you ought to let them go. DOUG HARTMAN: So this is probably a less facetious version of this, though. The question is, is the trend finally moving away from publicly funded stadiums, or is it just a pause until a new round of stadiums needs to be built? And I'll give everybody-- this is something we talked about with the graduate students this afternoon. And I posed that, I was really interested in the role that economics has played in undermining the usual economic arguments. It's a lot harder to make those arguments now. So I think the question is, is that established, or is that temporary? ALLEN SANDERSON: I tend to think it's established. The first solid evidence that was coming out, does a team bene-- or excuse me, does a city benefit from building a new stadium? Do they benefit from luring a franchise, or something. From about '95, '96 on, so the last 20 years, the evidence among economists is pretty uniform. That, no, they don't stimulate economic development. They have a relatively small rate of return on that scale. Football stadiums are the worst, mainly because they're closed all the time. And the best would be an indoor combination. NHL-- excuse me, NHL, NBA franchise. So if you got a professional basketball and hockey, you throw in the Taylor Swift concert, the ice shows, the conference for this, the circus, the whatever, Madison Square Garden probably gets up to 250 nights a year, you can make it pay. You can't make a football stadium pay, it's just. When I was testifying in City Hall in New York in 2004 because the Jets owner, Woody Johnson, wanted to put his stadium on Manhattan. Which may have been the worst idea in the history of human existence. But in the end, he didn't. I mean, they voted him down. He didn't do it. But they were asking me in City Hall, well, what should we put-- it was on the Hudson Yards area. What should we put on that? And I said, look, I'm from Chicago, what do I know? It could be affordable housing. It could be commercial. It could be mixed use kind of things. I said, there are only two that you do not want to put on a valuable piece of real estate. And that is valuable piece of real estate. One is a cemetery. And the other is a football stadium. And they have a lot in common, OK. And after that, it's negotiable. But you do not want to build those. And I think, by the way, in terms of, is it a deposit? No. I think, in almost any enterprise now, the role of the economist, I think, is reasonably permanent there, which is-- yeah. DOUG HARTMAN: I think we're about out of time. So I've got, I think, one more that we haven't quite touched on that, I think, is-- I think, trying to think the way you're thinking, but maybe with a different approach. And it's, would you favor implementing a more Olympic model, where athletes can accept compensation from corporations for the use of their likeness as a solution? So I think, that's the Ed O'Bannon version. But would that satisfy your interests in equity and distribution of resources? ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah, anything that moves in that direction, yes. After the O'Bannon decision, in fact, you are going to have to pay if you're going to put an athlete, a football player, or something, a college football player, or basketball player in some ad or something, you're going to have to be paid. And that doesn't strike me as unreasonable. It's true for anybody. That would be true for anybody in this room. You'd be paid to have your likeness put on a cereal box, or whatever else it might be. So moving in that, yeah, anything that moves in that direction. By the way, the Kessler suit-- just to make it clear that I said if Jeff wins, it's over for the NCAA. What that is, is, basically, the NCAA is violating the Sherman Antitrust Act because of price fixing. So anything that gets around that-- and, I think, the NCAA is reasonably nimble. They're aware of it. If they lose this, they're in big trouble. And so you see them last year, all of a sudden, saying with the power conferences, well, the-- they will be room and board, tuition fees and $5,000. It could be room and board, tuition fees, $5,000, and a whole bunch of commercials they can do. Again, the primary, if you start paying players in terms of vested interest here, if I want to say, as a class, or as a group, who are the people most likely to suffer if you paid college athletes? Pardon? AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] ALLEN SANDERSON: Yeah. The guys who would lose biggest, and they're mostly guys, the coaching staffs, OK. So when a coach, college coach, stands up and extols the virtues of amateur athletics, he or she is the biggest hypocrite on Earth, OK, because they're the primary beneficiary. If you pay the players, their salaries drop like a rock. And so, yeah, I think, we just-- this has been a great conversation. I've enjoyed the day immensely. I just want people to be more honest about what's really going on here and not cooking the books or not. And I don't mean any of you, or me. But in this particular industry, it's very, very-- it is just this strange thing that you don't see anywhere else on Earth. It's like going to the Grand Canyon, I suppose. And there's not two of those. It's just Americans and college sports, it is so just different. DOUG HARTMAN: Well, I think, whether you have opinions, or change your mind on paying college student athletes, I hope the conversation has helped to open up ideas about the value and problems of college athletics on big campuses like this. And I'd ask you to join me in thanking our guest for helping us think those ideas through. ALLEN SANDERSON: Well, thank you. DOUG HARTMAN: Thank you, Allen. [APPLAUSE]