Mexico is positioned to move from the 3rd to the 4th stage of demographic transition within the next 15 to 20 years. Once this occurs the population will begin to decrease. There are many factors that will influence the rate of change and the final Total Fertility Rate (TFR), such as economic conditions, social policy and violence. However, the transition will occur and it will change the number of Mexicans that migrate. There will be less migration to the United States and this will have implications for policy both in the United States and Mexico.
Migration Policy Implications of Mexico’s Demographic Transition.
Hubert H. Humphrey School of Public Affairs.
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